Government rhetoric is that the Treasurer Wayne Swan’s recently announced $4 billion investment in AAA-rated Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities will boost competition in the lending market, which in turn will benefit consumers.
When non-banks first entered the lending space 16 years ago, pioneered by Aussie Home Loans’ CEO John Symond, interest rates started falling.
But Associate Professor at the School of Economics & Finance, University of Western Sydney, Steve Keen doesn’t view this scenario favourably.
He maintains it was this competitive pressure that triggered irresponsible lending practices and in part instigated “this ridiculous level of debt that households have got themselves into over the last 16 years”.
“Lenders wanted to secure market share and one way to do that was to drop their lending standards, which meant everyone had to follow,” Keen told Money Confessions.
He said the argument that interest rates dropped when the non-banks came into the sector doesn’t fly because rates dropped too low.
“The low interest rates reduced the margin between lending rates and deposit rates, which is where banks make their profits. To get around the problem the banks expanded the level of debt more than they expanded deposits,” he said.
Keen contends that the government is throwing money at the wrong end of the problem.
“This ($4 billion) plan of Swan’s will provide more money for borrowers to buy properties and that’s the last thing we need,” Keen said pointing out that the ratio of private debt to GDP is now more than double the level that triggered the Great Depression.
Money Confessions would like to hear your opinion on this. Do you agree with Steve Keen who maintains that if it was up to him he would let the non-banks sink? Or do you think that propping up the non-bank sector and re-introducing competition will benefit consumers?
Tags: Property, interest, mortgage, rates
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